Selling SAA is only flight path around debt mountain

On June 27 this year I received a bizarre phone call from Dudu Myeni, chairwoman of the SAA board, who accused me of spying on her and threatened to sue me, after she had been caught out flying on British Airways.

Dudu Myeni said those wanting to determine what went wrong at SAA need to go way back to the late 1990s, when the airline was under the stewardship of American Coleman Andrews.
Dudu Myeni said those wanting to determine what went wrong at SAA need to go way back to the late 1990s, when the airline was under the stewardship of American Coleman Andrews. (Alon Skuy)

On June 27 this year I received a bizarre phone call from Dudu Myeni, chairwoman of the SAA board, who accused me of spying on her and threatened to sue me, after she had been caught out flying on British Airways.

This call brought home to me the kind of madness that seems to pervade the management of SAA.

The fact is that Myeni, who behaves less like a chairwoman and more like a "corporate warlord", has taken the national airline to the brink: in three years SAA has accumulated losses of R11.6-billion.

The first quarter of this year saw losses of R1.46-billion.

At this rate, the 2018 year is heading for a R5.8-billion loss, which would amount to a loss of R17.5-billion over four years.

The SAA turnaround plan reflects that the airline will continue to run at losses over the next five years. SAA has no funds available to continue to trade, let alone pay back the balance of R10.1-billion in loans.

Lenders seem to be running scared despite government guarantees - Standard Chartered Bank called in R2.2-billion.

Minister of Finance Malusi Gigaba was forced to invoke section 16 of the Public Finance Management Act to make a R2.2-billion "emergency" payment to SAA to pay Standard Chartered.

Apparently Citibank won't extend its R1.5-billion loan beyond the end of this month, and Nedbank appears to be digging in its heels on its loans of R3.1-billion due in 2020 and 2023, all because Myeni remains as the SAA chair. It seems she will remain in the post until "uBaba ka Duduzane" (President Jacob Zuma) goes.

The fact is that R6.78-billion in loans is repayable by the end of the month and SAA simply doesn't have the money to pay.

It seems to be irresponsible to continue to lend to SAA even if the loans are guaranteed by the government when the airline will not be able to repay the loans or even meet the interest payments in full.

Gigaba's reputation is at risk as a result of the ongoing SAA drain on the fiscus.

He is already missing commitments in his 14-point plan, such as by having failed to finalise the SAA CEO appointment by the end of July. Indeed, South Africa's sovereign ratings status will be heavily influenced by how Gigaba deals with SAA.

Ratings agencies are watching this very carefully because it will be a clear indication as to what can be expected in the bigger economic policy arena.

The bottom line is that SAA has run out of working capital, owes suppliers in the region of R750-million and will simply cease to be able to trade without further cash injections. It is insolvent and bankrupt.

The government has allowed SAA to be mismanaged and its guarantees of R19.1-billion have been used to fund mismanagement and losses.

The money is already unrecoverable from the SAA black hole. The government has no option but to meet its guarantee obligations, as it did with Standard Chartered Bank in June. It will have to find the R6.78-billion due by September 30 or face possible cross default calls on the balance of the R780-billion guarantees issued to state-owned enterprises.

Clearly the only sensible option would be to meet the immediate guarantee obligations of R9-billion, which unfortunately can't be escaped, and to put the airline into business rescue.

This would be an attempt to save a major portion of the 9919 jobs at SAA.

Once it has been brought to, at the very least, a break-even, SAA can then be sold to the highest bidder.

However, in the end the question remains whether Gigaba has the backbone to do the right thing and to privatise SAA. I hope so, but it does not seem to be the case.

• Lees is a DA MP and the party's spokesman on finance.